Securing agriculture supply chains in the era of unpredictable supply

Risilience considers the consequences for business and how advanced analytics help companies move beyond reactive crisis management to take a strategic approach that mitigates risk and builds resilience.

Global organizations are facing unprecedented raw material volatility driven by:

Disrupted yields: climate extremes and ecosystem degradation are creating significant instability in crop yields across key global breadbaskets. Risilience modeling indicates that there is an estimated 30% reduction in food oil crop yields by 2050 in some growing regions, relative to 2025 production estimates. Food oil crops are essential for the production of most processed consumer food products and many personal care items.
Extreme price volatility: commodity price spikes are becoming more frequent and severe, directly threatening profitability and production stability.
Instability of supply: The convergence of climate change, ecosystem degradation, and geopolitical uncertainty is creating unprecedented systemic risk within the global food supply chain. More frequent and extreme climate events, compounded by the cumulative stress on nature, directly threaten the quantity and quality of crop yields. Furthermore, key supply hubs and transit zones are increasingly vulnerable to disruption. With risk escalating at every stage of the food value chain from farm to table, the potential for cascading failures poses a significant and growing threat.

Climate and nature risk in agricultural supply chains is a material financial issue that requires a sophisticated data-driven response. At Risilience, we support many leading food and agriculture organizations to move beyond reactive crisis management to take a proactive and strategic approach that builds resilience. Our advanced analytics platform, Riise, translates complex climate and nature risk into clear, financially quantified, and actionable strategy, designed to build strategic advantage.

Riise models and compares the strengths of different agricultural sourcing strategies, enabling an organization to build a data-driven blueprint that strengthens the agricultural supply chain, protects profitability, and builds business resilience. In an era of escalating climate volatility, inaction is a liability. Global businesses that understand and manage their unique exposure and develop a costed and actionable strategy to mitigate risks will lead the field.

• Hear from Dr. Andrew Coburn at the forthcoming Future of Food and Beverage Forum this month in Amsterdam, during the panel discussion: 'From farm to boardroom: Reframing regeneration around risk, resilience, and competitive advantage', on May 12th, at 12:00pm CEST.