El Niño Analysis

El Niño impacts are poised to stress already tight margins. By analyzing the impact of an El Niño on their supply chain, organizations can quantify financial exposure enabling strategic action.

Crops

Future-Proof Your Supply Chain


At Risilience, our experts are on-hand to provide a bespoke technical report detailing modeled production losses and margin impacts for your specific raw materials.

Get targeted, strategic recommendations for material substitution (if relevant) and guidance on potential strategic initiatives to secure supply continuity and hedge against predicted price spikes.

Mitigate Your Risk with an El Niño Report

Enable your procurement, risk, and finance functions to better articulate exposure and the range of mitigation options that might support intelligent choices for business resiliency. With an El Niño report from Risilience, you can:

Identify highest-risk sourcing regions

Identify priority sourcing regions with highest potential El Niño related risks for key commodities

Quantify climate-driven yield losses

Assess how changing climate conditions may affect yields under different El Niño scenarios. Quantify exposure to in reduction in yields and commodity availability.

Estimate sourcing and procurement impacts

Evaluate potential changes in commodity availability based on yield changes and pinpoint regions where procurement costs may increase due to climate pressures

The Risilience Advantage 

Backed by Cambridge University science, our Riise platform translates climate anomalies into your financial exposure

Precision Modeling 

We map your supply network against El Niño climate data to estimate potential agricultural yield shortfalls in your key sourcing regions

Econometric Forecasting

We apply proprietary econometric models to translate those physical crop failures into commodity price shocks

Actionable Output

We benchmark your vulnerability against the broader market to see if you are over-exposed, and deliver a view of potential negative margin impacts